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Veridact — Event Forecasting, Analysis & Prediction Tracking

Liverpool's Late Draw at Newcastle: A Rescued Point or Two Dropped?
sportsAnalysis

Liverpool's Late Draw at Newcastle: A Rescued Point or Two Dropped?

Dominik Szoboszlai's penalty in the 99th minute secured a dramatic 2-2 draw for Liverpool against Newcastle United on Sunday, marking a tense start to their 2026-27 Premier League campaign. Anthony Elanga had given Newcastle an early lead, which Cody Gakpo canceled out in the second half, only for Szoboszlai to salvage a point deep into stoppage time after Liverpool had fallen behind again. The result sees both teams share the spoils in a match that offered an early test of resilience and tactical discipline.

Prediction Confidence60%
Aug 24, 2026 0 viewsCLOSES IN 276 DAYS
Latest Analysis
The Unlikely Middle Ground: Flock Safety Confronts Deep Divisions on Surveillance
tech

The Unlikely Middle Ground: Flock Safety Confronts Deep Divisions on Surveillance

Aug 24
open
Lanterns' 'Trust Fall' Deepens the Mystery, Setting a Treacherous Path for Hal and John
gaming

Lanterns' 'Trust Fall' Deepens the Mystery, Setting a Treacherous Path for Hal and John

Aug 24
open
Liverpool's Late Draw at Newcastle: A Rescued Point or Two Dropped?
sports

Liverpool's Late Draw at Newcastle: A Rescued Point or Two Dropped?

Aug 24
open
Beyond the Headlines: Why Wall Street Is Still Bullish on Select Tech Growth, Even As Broader Market Sentiment Shifts
finance

Beyond the Headlines: Why Wall Street Is Still Bullish on Select Tech Growth, Even As Broader Market Sentiment Shifts

Aug 24
open
Usain Bolt's 40th Birthday Marks a New Public Era with Kasi Bennett: What Comes Next for the Sprint King
sports

Usain Bolt's 40th Birthday Marks a New Public Era with Kasi Bennett: What Comes Next for the Sprint King

Aug 24
open
China's Moon Mission Delay: What 'Absolute Success' Really Means for the Lunar Race
tech

China's Moon Mission Delay: What 'Absolute Success' Really Means for the Lunar Race

Aug 24
open
Browse by CategorySee all Tech →
Volcanoes that made history

Mauna Loa's Awakening and Etna's Disruption: What Recent Eruptions Reveal About Earth's Volcanic Future

Aug 24
Flock CEO calls for ‘compromise’ as surveillance company faces growing backlash

The Unlikely Middle Ground: Flock Safety Confronts Deep Divisions on Surveillance

Aug 24
Due to need for 'absolute success,' China delays critical Moon launch to 2027

China's Moon Mission Delay: What 'Absolute Success' Really Means for the Lunar Race

Aug 24
Uber faces fine of nearly $1B over automated driver suspensions

Uber's $966 Million Fine Exposes the Limits of Automated Management in the Gig Economy

Aug 24
Who’s behind the new ‘stealth model’ Ox Alpha?

Ox Alpha: The Anonymous AI Model Shaking Up the Industry, And What It Means For The Future of Frontier Tech

Aug 24
The White House is asking OpenAI to slow roll the release of its new model over safety concerns

White House Curbs OpenAI's GPT 5.6 Rollout Amid Rising AI Security Fears

Aug 24
On Everyone's Radar
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Pentagon Reviews Secret Chinese Stakes in SpaceX as National Security Fears Mount

Pentagon Reviews Secret Chinese Stakes in SpaceX as National Security Fears Mount

tech
2
Why your bond portfolio needs a duration hedge

Why your bond portfolio needs a duration hedge

finance
3
Why Dune: Awakening’s Lack of Crossplay Could Strand Console Players on Arrakis

Why Dune: Awakening’s Lack of Crossplay Could Strand Console Players on Arrakis

gaming
4
The 48-Team Stress Test: How FIFA’s Expanded World Cup Will Redefine Elite Football

The 48-Team Stress Test: How FIFA’s Expanded World Cup Will Redefine Elite Football

sports
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Polymarket Users Lose $3 Million in Frontend Supply Chain Hack; Company Promises Full Refunds

Polymarket Users Lose $3 Million in Frontend Supply Chain Hack; Company Promises Full Refunds

tech
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The 38-Year-Old Engine: Inside Argentina's High-Stakes Plan to Preserve Lionel Messi for One Final World Cup

The 38-Year-Old Engine: Inside Argentina's High-Stakes Plan to Preserve Lionel Messi for One Final World Cup

sports

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techApple Inc. will publicly confirm by August 21, 2026, that it will not source memory chips from CXMT Corp. or Yangtze Memory Technologies Co. (YMTC).85%·closing soontechOpenAI will file a formal legal response to Apple's trade secret lawsuit in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California.85%·closing soonsportsMcLaren will reduce its average qualifying lap time deficit to the fastest Mercedes and Ferrari cars by at least 0.250 seconds per lap, averaged across the 2026 Belgian Grand Prix and the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix.60%·closing soonfinanceWalmart and Target's Q2 2026 earnings reports will show a year-over-year increase in the sales volume of private label or value-tier products.85%·closing soontechA U.S. federal court will grant xAI a preliminary injunction against Minnesota's ban on AI-generated 'nudify' applications by August 26, 2026.60%·1d lefttechTesla's Q2 2026 overall gross profit margin will decline compared to its Q1 2026 overall gross profit margin, as reported in its official Q2 2026 earnings statement.60%·2d leftsportsAtletico Madrid will officially announce the signing of Cristian Romero.85%·2d leftsportsWWE will announce a creative overhaul of The Vision faction that includes the addition of LA Knight as a new member.60%·3d leftsportsLeBron James will not sign with the Golden State Warriors as a free agent.60%·4d lefttechBy August 30, 2026, Waymo and Zoox will each publicly announce at least one software update or operational design domain (ODD) adjustment implemented to address autonomous vehicle interactions with first responders, in response to NHTSA's July 8 directive.85%·5d leftfinanceCBOT November 2026 soybean futures contracts will settle below eleven dollars per bushel on August 31, 2026, driven by a high percentage of US crops maintaining good-to-excellent ratings and sustained export competition from Brazil.85%·6d leftsportsTottenham Hotspur will reject Brighton & Hove Albion's current £35 million offer for Luka Vuskovic.85%·6d lefttechApple Inc. will publicly confirm by August 21, 2026, that it will not source memory chips from CXMT Corp. or Yangtze Memory Technologies Co. (YMTC).85%·closing soontechOpenAI will file a formal legal response to Apple's trade secret lawsuit in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California.85%·closing soonsportsMcLaren will reduce its average qualifying lap time deficit to the fastest Mercedes and Ferrari cars by at least 0.250 seconds per lap, averaged across the 2026 Belgian Grand Prix and the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix.60%·closing soonfinanceWalmart and Target's Q2 2026 earnings reports will show a year-over-year increase in the sales volume of private label or value-tier products.85%·closing soontechA U.S. federal court will grant xAI a preliminary injunction against Minnesota's ban on AI-generated 'nudify' applications by August 26, 2026.60%·1d lefttechTesla's Q2 2026 overall gross profit margin will decline compared to its Q1 2026 overall gross profit margin, as reported in its official Q2 2026 earnings statement.60%·2d leftsportsAtletico Madrid will officially announce the signing of Cristian Romero.85%·2d leftsportsWWE will announce a creative overhaul of The Vision faction that includes the addition of LA Knight as a new member.60%·3d leftsportsLeBron James will not sign with the Golden State Warriors as a free agent.60%·4d lefttechBy August 30, 2026, Waymo and Zoox will each publicly announce at least one software update or operational design domain (ODD) adjustment implemented to address autonomous vehicle interactions with first responders, in response to NHTSA's July 8 directive.85%·5d leftfinanceCBOT November 2026 soybean futures contracts will settle below eleven dollars per bushel on August 31, 2026, driven by a high percentage of US crops maintaining good-to-excellent ratings and sustained export competition from Brazil.85%·6d leftsportsTottenham Hotspur will reject Brighton & Hove Albion's current £35 million offer for Luka Vuskovic.85%·6d left
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Recently ResolvedRecord →

OpenAI will publicly confirm its compliance with the White House directive, announcing that the initial release of GPT 5.6 will be limited to a restricted set of government-approved partners for security evaluation.

Cloudflare (NET) stock will experience a short-term bounce, with its price reaching or exceeding $233.83.

Microsoft will not publicly announce *both* a system-wide improvement to severance packages for all 440 laid-off Bethesda and ZeniMax employees *and* a program offering preferential internal transfer opportunities to at least 100 of these employees, within 14 days following the 'Save Our Devs' protest on July 15, 2026.

GitHub will geo-restrict access to the Bitchat application repositories for users located within India by August 18, 2026.

Kylian Mbappe will surpass Lionel Messi's all-time World Cup goal record of 21 goals before the conclusion of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Google will introduce the Pixel Tag at its Made by Google event on August 12, 2026.

Recent CallsFull ledger →
tech#0989

A civilian airport in Indonesia, the Philippines, Tonga, or Vanuatu will experience a full-day closure (at least 24 hours) due to ashfall from a new or ongoing volcanic eruption.

85%729d left
LIVE
tech#0988

At least one U.S. state or federal regulatory body will enact new legislation specifically targeting AI-powered surveillance, defining its permissible use, data retention, or accountability mechanisms.

60%366d left
LIVE
gaming#0987

By the end of Lanterns Season 1, Sinestro's warning about John Stewart's trustworthiness will be revealed to have substance, resulting in John Stewart facing formal disciplinary action from the Green Lantern Corps or his Green Lantern ring being temporarily or permanently revoked.

60%45d left
LIVE
sports#0986

Liverpool will finish the 2026-27 Premier League season in a top 5 position.

60%276d left
LIVE
finance#0985

CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (CRWD) will trade at or above $245 per share on the Nasdaq Stock Market.

60%425d left
LIVE
finance#0984

Iran will seize at least one commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz or Gulf of Oman within the next 12 months, citing transit rule violations.

60%359d left
LIVE
sports#0983

Usain Bolt and Kasi Bennett will jointly appear in at least one brand endorsement campaign or launch a co-branded product line.

60%548d left
LIVE
tech#0982

China's Chang'e 7 lunar mission will launch between July 1, 2027, and December 31, 2027.

60%497d left
LIVE
sports#0981

PGMOL will issue updated written guidance to Premier League referees regarding the interpretation of 'clear and obvious errors' and the thresholds for VAR intervention.

85%89d left
LIVE
tech#0980

Uber will formally file its legal appeal against the Dutch Data Protection Authority's €825 million fine for automated driver suspensions.

85%89d left
LIVE
tech#0979

The anonymous creator of the Ox Alpha AI model will publicly reveal their identity.

85%41d left
LIVE
tech#0302

OpenAI will publicly confirm its compliance with the White House directive, announcing that the initial release of GPT 5.6 will be limited to a restricted set of government-approved partners for security evaluation.

60%closed
CALLED
finance#0235

Cloudflare (NET) stock will experience a short-term bounce, with its price reaching or exceeding $233.83.

85%closed
CALLED
tech#0978

Amazon Web Services (AWS) will implement a new mandatory policy requiring the rotation or revocation of all publicly detected root and IAM 'AdministratorAccess' keys associated with corporate accounts.

85%455d left
LIVE
Open PredictionsAll →

Apple Inc. will publicly confirm by August 21, 2026, that it will not source memory chips from CXMT Corp. or Yangtze Memory Technologies Co. (YMTC).

Closes soon85%

OpenAI will file a formal legal response to Apple's trade secret lawsuit in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California.

Closes soon85%

McLaren will reduce its average qualifying lap time deficit to the fastest Mercedes and Ferrari cars by at least 0.250 seconds per lap, averaged across the 2026 Belgian Grand Prix and the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix.

Closes soon60%

Walmart and Target's Q2 2026 earnings reports will show a year-over-year increase in the sales volume of private label or value-tier products.

Closes soon85%

A U.S. federal court will grant xAI a preliminary injunction against Minnesota's ban on AI-generated 'nudify' applications by August 26, 2026.

Closes in 1d60%

Tesla's Q2 2026 overall gross profit margin will decline compared to its Q1 2026 overall gross profit margin, as reported in its official Q2 2026 earnings statement.

Closes in 2d60%

Atletico Madrid will officially announce the signing of Cristian Romero.

Closes in 2d85%

WWE will announce a creative overhaul of The Vision faction that includes the addition of LA Knight as a new member.

Closes in 3d60%

LeBron James will not sign with the Golden State Warriors as a free agent.

Closes in 4d60%

By August 30, 2026, Waymo and Zoox will each publicly announce at least one software update or operational design domain (ODD) adjustment implemented to address autonomous vehicle interactions with first responders, in response to NHTSA's July 8 directive.

Closes in 5d85%

CBOT November 2026 soybean futures contracts will settle below eleven dollars per bushel on August 31, 2026, driven by a high percentage of US crops maintaining good-to-excellent ratings and sustained export competition from Brazil.

Closes in 6d85%

Tottenham Hotspur will reject Brighton & Hove Albion's current £35 million offer for Luka Vuskovic.

Closes in 6d85%

Lucas Bergvall will remain at Tottenham Hotspur through the end of the summer 2026 transfer window.

Closes in 6d60%

AMD will deliver the AGESA microcode update to its partners in July 2026, and major motherboard manufacturers including Asus, Gigabyte, and MSI will release official BIOS updates restoring TSME to consumer Ryzen 9000 processors by August 31, 2026.

Closes in 6d85%

Goldman Sachs will make its first quarterly common dividend payment at the increased rate of $5.00 per share on or shortly after July 1, 2026.

Closes in 6d85%

Paul Meade will officially join OpenAI's hardware team, with an announcement or confirmation of his specific role expected within the next two months.

Closes in 6d85%

LeBron James will sign with one of the Golden State Warriors, Cleveland Cavaliers, or Miami Heat for his 24th NBA season.

Closes in 6d60%

An official, public takeover bid for West Ham United by Amanda Staveley and Mehrdad Ghodoussi will not be announced by September 1, 2026.

Closes in 7d60%

The Houston Texans will not execute a trade involving quarterback C.J. Stroud during the 2026 offseason.

Closes in 7d60%

Sony will proceed with the planned deletion of 551 movies from UK PlayStation accounts on September 1, 2026, without offering refunds to affected customers.

Closes in 7d85%

Mercedes will issue a public statement addressing the findings of its investigation into George Russell's reported power unit issue and outlining remedial actions by September 1, 2026.

Closes in 7d60%

Barcelona will issue an official statement confirming the transfer of Rodri from Manchester City.

Closes in 7d85%

Matt Chapman will not be traded by the San Francisco Giants before the August 3, 2026 MLB trade deadline.

Closes in 8d85%

Skyroot Aerospace will initiate an orbital launch attempt of its Vikram-1 rocket from the Satish Dhawan Space Centre in Sriharikota, India, within the period of July 12, 2026, to August 4, 2026.

Closes in 9d85%

Real Madrid will either extend Vinicius Jr.'s contract or sell him before the European summer transfer window closes in 2026.

Closes in 9d85%

The live stream of the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse by NASA and ESA will collectively achieve at least 30 million unique viewers across all official platforms within 24 hours of the event's start.

Closes in 9d85%

Joaquin Seys will transfer from Club Brugge to a Premier League club for a fee of at least €30 million by the end of the 2026 summer transfer window.

Closes in 9d60%

Tesla will deploy its purpose-built Cybercab vehicles, operating fully driverless without a steering wheel or pedals, for initial operations on public roads in Austin, Texas, by August 31, 2026.

Closes in 9d85%

Liverpool will sign either Yankuba Minteh from Brighton & Hove Albion or Endrick from Real Madrid before the close of the 2026 summer transfer window.

Closes in 9d60%

Elon Musk's legal team will file an appeal of the San Francisco federal court's July 6, 2026, verdict upholding the Twitter investor fraud finding.

Closes in 10d85%

Public Accuracy Score

69.0%

Based on 63 closed predictions · partial counts as half-credit

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